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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Municipal v Mixco: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera
5–0
FT

Mixco

LLDWL
Municipal 67%Draw 22%Mixco 12% Expected goals 1.90 – 0.65
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultMunicipal to win ✓67% · @1.36
Double chanceMunicipal or draw ✓88% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.72

Municipal vs Mixco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mixco travel to face Municipal on Sunday 10 May in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Municipal are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 22 matches; Mixco are 3rd (among the top four) with 36. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Municipal, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mixco, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Mixco, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Municipal, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Municipal, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Mixco.

Head to head

When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Mixco 0–2 Municipal. The last 2 head-to-heads: Municipal 1 win, Mixco 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Municipal 1.9 xG, Mixco 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal 67%, draw 22%, Mixco 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal 1–0 Mixco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Municipal67%fair 1.50 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @4.20
Mixco12%fair 8.57 · @8.20
2.55Expected goals
1.90Municipal xG
0.65Mixco xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%

From our goals model: Municipal 1.9 – 0.6 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MunicipalMixco
Attack vs Liga Nacional average+6%+16%
Goals conceded vs average-38%+13%
Our expected goals here1.990.66

Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMunicipal to win ✓67%1.501.36
Double chanceMunicipal or draw ✓88%1.131.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%2.001.53
Draw no betMunicipal (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapMunicipal -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.351.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.13–
First team to scoreMunicipal to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultMunicipal ahead at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Municipal / FT Municipal ✓43%2.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.72–

Recent results

Municipal – last 6

WWWWWL
6 May@ Mixco2–0W
3 Mayvs Guastatoya2–0W
1 May@ Guastatoya1–0W
19 Apr@ Marquense3–1W
16 Aprvs Comunicaciones1–0W
12 Apr@ Antigua GFC0–1L
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Mixco – last 6

LLDWLW
6 Mayvs Municipal0–2L
29 Apr@ Cobán Imperial0–2L
17 Apr@ Mictlán2–2D
7 Aprvs Marquense2–1W
3 Apr@ Comunicaciones0–1L
18 Marvs Achuapa1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 May 2026Mixco v Municipal0–2
4 Mar 2026Mixco v Municipal1–0
Municipal vs Mixco head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Municipal vs Mixco?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Municipal vs Mixco?

On our numbers Municipal have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mixco 12%.

How many goals will there be in Municipal vs Mixco?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Municipal vs Mixco?

Our predicted score is Municipal 1–0 Mixco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Municipal vs Mixco?

Municipal vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.