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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Orlando City SC v Atlanta United FC: numbers & prediction

Orlando City SC 45%Draw 22%Atlanta United FC 33% Expected goals 1.99 – 1.51
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: Orlando City SC to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultOrlando City SC to win ✓45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08

Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Wednesday 20 May: Orlando City SC v Atlanta United FC in the US Open Cup.

Current form

Orlando City SC, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atlanta United FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Atlanta United FC, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Orlando City SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Orlando City SC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Atlanta United FC.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Orlando City SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orlando City SC 2.0 xG, Atlanta United FC 1.5 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Orlando City SC 45%, draw 22%, Atlanta United FC 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Orlando City SC to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orlando City SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orlando City SC45%fair 2.21 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.65
Atlanta United FC33%fair 3.03 · @2.52
3.50Expected goals
1.99Orlando City SC xG
1.51Atlanta United FC xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
3–16%

From our goals model: Orlando City SC 2.0 – 1.5 Atlanta United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrlando City SC to win ✓45%2.212.38 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.44
Draw no betOrlando City SC (draw no bet) ✓58%1.73–
Asian handicapAtlanta United FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.201.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.551.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.761.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗75%1.341.22
First team to scoreOrlando City SC to score first ✓55%1.81–
Half-time resultOrlando City SC ahead at half-time ✓38%2.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT Orlando City SC / FT Orlando City SC ✓30%3.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.08–

Recent results

Orlando City SC – last 6

DWWWLW
17 Mayvs Atlanta United FC1–1D
14 Mayvs Philadelphia Union4–3W
3 May@ Inter Miami4–3W
30 Apr@ New England Revolution4–3W
26 Apr@ DC United2–3L
23 Aprvs Charlotte4–1W
3.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Atlanta United FC – last 6

DLWWLL
17 May@ Orlando City SC1–1D
10 Mayvs Los Angeles Galaxy1–2L
3 Mayvs CF Montreal3–1W
29 Apr@ Charlotte2–0W
23 Aprvs New England Revolution1–2L
19 Aprvs Nashville SC0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Orlando City SC v Atlanta United FC1–1
Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC head-to-head page →

More US Open Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC?

On our numbers Orlando City SC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atlanta United FC 33%.

How many goals will there be in Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC?

Our predicted score is Orlando City SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC?

Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC (US Open Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.