Columbus Crew 52%Draw 25%New York City FC 24%Expected goals 2.02 – 1.32
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultColumbus Crew to win ✓52% · @1.88
Double chanceColumbus Crew or draw ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Columbus Crew vs New York City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New York City FC travel to face Columbus Crew on Thursday 21 May in the US Open Cup, with ScottsMiracle-Gro Field the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT.
Current form
Columbus Crew, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Philadelphia Union, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
New York City FC, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with New York Red Bulls, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Columbus Crew 2.0 xG, New York City FC 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Columbus Crew 52%, draw 25%, New York City FC 24%.
Lower-risk option: Columbus Crew or draw (76%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Columbus Crew 2–1 New York City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Columbus Crew52%fair 1.94 · @1.88
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.65
New York City FC24%fair 4.21 · @3.55
3.35Expected goals
2.02Columbus Crew xG
1.32New York City FC xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Columbus Crew 2.0 – 1.3 New York City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Columbus Crew to win✓
52%
1.94
1.88
Double chance
Columbus Crew or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.55
Draw no bet
Columbus Crew (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
New York City FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Columbus Crew to score first✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Columbus Crew ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Columbus Crew / FT Columbus Crew✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
Columbus Crew – last 6
DLLWWW
17 May
@ Philadelphia Union
1–1
D
14 May
@ New York Red Bulls
2–3
L
3 May
vs Minnesota United FC
2–3
L
30 Apr
vs One Knoxville
4–1
W
26 Apr
vs Philadelphia Union
2–0
W
23 Apr
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
New York City FC – last 6
DWWDLW
17 May
@ New York Red Bulls
1–1
D
14 May
@ Charlotte
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ New York Red Bulls
3–1
W
23 Apr
vs FC Cincinnati
4–4
D
19 Apr
vs Charlotte
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Westchester SC
5–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Columbus Crew and New York City FC.
What is the prediction for Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
On our numbers Columbus Crew have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and New York City FC 24%.
How many goals will there be in Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
Our predicted score is Columbus Crew 2–1 New York City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
Columbus Crew vs New York City FC (US Open Cup) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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