Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStockport County to win ✓52% · @1.85
Double chanceStockport County or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71
Stockport County vs Stevenage: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 13 May the League One brings Stockport County against Stevenage at Edgeley Park. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Stockport County are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 14 matches; Stevenage are 16th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Stockport County, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Port Vale, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Stevenage, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Barnsley, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Stockport County, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Stevenage.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stockport County 1.5 xG, Stevenage 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stockport County 52%, draw 26%, Stevenage 22%.
Lower-risk option: Stockport County or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stockport County 1–0 Stevenage. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stockport County52%fair 1.91 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.50
Stevenage22%fair 4.56 · @4.10
2.48Expected goals
1.54Stockport County xG
0.94Stevenage xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Stockport County 1.5 – 0.9 Stevenage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Stockport County
Stevenage
Attack vs League One average
+15%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.55
1.01
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stockport County to win✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Double chance
Stockport County or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Stockport County (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Stevenage +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Stockport County to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stockport County / FT Stockport County✓
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.71
–
Recent results
Stockport County – last 6
LLWDWW
28 Apr
vs Port Vale
1–2
L
21 Apr
vs Mansfield Town
0–1
L
15 Apr
@ AFC Wimbledon
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ Bolton
2–2
D
3 Apr
vs Wycombe
3–0
W
17 Mar
vs Northampton
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stevenage – last 6
WLWDLL
21 Apr
vs Barnsley
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Bolton
1–5
L
6 Apr
vs Blackpool
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Rotherham
0–0
D
17 Mar
@ Plymouth
0–1
L
10 Mar
vs Leyton Orient
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stockport County and Stevenage.
What is the prediction for Stockport County vs Stevenage?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Stockport County vs Stevenage?
On our numbers Stockport County have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Stevenage 22%.
How many goals will there be in Stockport County vs Stevenage?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stockport County vs Stevenage?
Our predicted score is Stockport County 1–0 Stevenage, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Stockport County vs Stevenage?
Stockport County vs Stevenage (League One) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Edgeley Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
