Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓8% · fair 11.84
Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 7 May the Superliga brings Pogradeci against Kastrioti Krujë at Gjorgji Kycyku Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Pogradeci, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Luftëtari, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Kastrioti Krujë, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Lushnja, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Pogradeci, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Kastrioti Krujë.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogradeci 2.1 xG, Kastrioti Krujë 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 49% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogradeci 69%, draw 20%, Kastrioti Krujë 11%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pogradeci to win (69%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogradeci 2–0 Kastrioti Krujë. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogradeci69%fair 1.44 · @1.20
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @5.50
Kastrioti Krujë11%fair 9.24 · @12.00
2.93Expected goals
2.12Pogradeci xG
0.81Kastrioti Krujë xG
49%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Pogradeci 2.1 – 0.8 Kastrioti Krujë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✓
69%
1.44
1.20
Double chance
Pogradeci or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Pogradeci (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Pogradeci -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Pogradeci to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Pogradeci ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✓
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✓
8%
11.84
–
Recent results
Pogradeci – last 6
LLWWWW
3 May
@ Luftëtari
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Laci
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Burreli
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë
3–0
W
28 Feb
@ Apolonia Fier
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Lushnja
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kastrioti Krujë – last 6
WLLWLW
3 May
@ Lushnja
4–1
W
19 Apr
@ Skenderbeu Korce
0–4
L
22 Mar
vs FK Kukesi
0–2
L
18 Mar
vs Burreli
5–2
W
28 Feb
@ Korabi Peshkopi
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Apolonia Fier
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogradeci and Kastrioti Krujë.
What is the prediction for Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?
Our pick is Pogradeci to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?
On our numbers Pogradeci have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kastrioti Krujë 11%.
How many goals will there be in Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?
Our predicted score is Pogradeci 2–0 Kastrioti Krujë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë?
Pogradeci vs Kastrioti Krujë (Superliga) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gjorgji Kycyku Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Iliria Fushë-Krujë0
Besa Kavajë2