Sarnese vs Pompei: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the Serie D Girone H brings Sarnese against Pompei. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Sarnese, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Virtus Francavilla, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Pompei, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fidelis Andria, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Pompei, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Sarnese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarnese 1.7 xG, Pompei 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarnese 58%, draw 24%, Pompei 19%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarnese 1–1 Pompei. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarnese58%fair 1.73 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.65
Pompei19%fair 5.36 · @4.75
2.64Expected goals
1.72Sarnese xG
0.92Pompei xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sarnese 1.7 – 0.9 Pompei expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarnese to win✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Double chance
Sarnese or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.91
Draw no bet
Sarnese (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Pompei +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Sarnese to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarnese / FT Sarnese✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
Sarnese – last 6
DDLWDW
3 May
@ Virtus Francavilla
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Francavilla
2–2
D
19 Apr
@ Fidelis Andria
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ Real Acerrana
5–2
W
22 Mar
@ Heraclea
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Gravina
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pompei – last 6
WWWLDW
3 May
@ Fidelis Andria
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs Virtus Francavilla
4–1
W
19 Apr
@ Real Acerrana
3–1
W
2 Apr
@ Nardò
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Città di Fasano
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Nola 1925
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarnese and Pompei.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sarnese vs Pompei?
On our numbers Sarnese have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pompei 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sarnese vs Pompei?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarnese vs Pompei?
Our predicted score is Sarnese 1–1 Pompei, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sarnese vs Pompei?
Sarnese vs Pompei (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nola 19250
Heraclea0