Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAncona to win ✗57% · @1.60
Double chanceAncona or draw ✓83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91
Ancona vs Notaresco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Notaresco travel to face Ancona on Sunday 10 May in the Serie D Girone F, with Stadio del Conero the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ancona are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Notaresco are 8th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Ancona, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Notaresco, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Notaresco, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ancona, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Ancona 1–1 Notaresco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ancona 1.6 xG, Notaresco 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ancona 57%, draw 26%, Notaresco 17%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ancona 1–0 Notaresco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ancona57%fair 1.74 · @1.60
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.60
Notaresco17%fair 6.01 · @5.10
2.35Expected goals
1.56Ancona xG
0.79Notaresco xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Ancona 1.6 – 0.8 Notaresco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ancona vs Notaresco?
On our numbers Ancona have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Notaresco 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ancona vs Notaresco?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ancona vs Notaresco?
Our predicted score is Ancona 1–0 Notaresco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ancona vs Notaresco?
Ancona vs Notaresco (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio del Conero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
