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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Derthona v Gozzano: numbers & prediction

1–1
FTAET 1–2

Gozzano

WLWDD
Derthona 42%Draw 26%Gozzano 32% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.06
57%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultDerthona to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.35

Derthona vs Gozzano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 10 May the Serie D Girone A brings Derthona against Gozzano. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Derthona are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Gozzano are 11th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Derthona, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Saluzzo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Gozzano, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cairese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Gozzano, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Derthona.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Derthona 1.4 xG, Gozzano 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Derthona 42%, draw 26%, Gozzano 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derthona 1–1 Gozzano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Derthona42%fair 2.38 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.10
Gozzano32%fair 3.12 · @2.80
2.46Expected goals
1.40Derthona xG
1.06Gozzano xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%

From our goals model: Derthona 1.4 – 1.1 Gozzano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDerthona to win ✗42%2.382.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.93–
Draw no betDerthona (draw no bet)57%1.76–
Asian handicapGozzano +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreDerthona to score first52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Derthona / FT Derthona ✗26%3.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.35–

Recent results

Derthona – last 6

DDLLDL
3 May@ Saluzzo1–1D
26 Aprvs Imperia0–0D
19 Apr@ Città di Varese0–1L
2 Aprvs Celle Varazze0–3L
22 Marvs Asti1–1D
15 Mar@ Cairese0–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Gozzano – last 6

WLWDDD
3 Mayvs Cairese1–0W
26 Apr@ Biellese0–2L
19 Aprvs Chisola3–2W
2 Aprvs Lavagnese0–0D
29 Marvs Vado1–1D
22 Mar@ Città di Varese2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Derthona and Gozzano.

Derthona vs Gozzano head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alessandria111001+1230
2Chisola11632+1221
3Biellese11632+1021
4Derthona11542+119
5Ligorna11533+518
6Millesimo11524+617
7Sanremese11452+417
8Saluzzo11362+115
9Imperia11434+115
10Asti11425-214
11Gozzano11425-414
12Sestri Levante11344-213
13Borgosesia11344-213
14Lascaris11335-512
15Fezzanese11326-711
16Bra11245-710
17Valenzana11137-86
18Celle Varazze11119-154

More Serie D Girone A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Derthona vs Gozzano?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Derthona vs Gozzano?

On our numbers Derthona have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gozzano 32%.

How many goals will there be in Derthona vs Gozzano?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Derthona vs Gozzano?

Our predicted score is Derthona 1–1 Gozzano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Derthona vs Gozzano?

Derthona vs Gozzano (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.