Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.35
Derthona vs Gozzano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the Serie D Girone A brings Derthona against Gozzano. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Derthona are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Gozzano are 11th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Derthona, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Saluzzo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Gozzano, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cairese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gozzano, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Derthona.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derthona 1.4 xG, Gozzano 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derthona 42%, draw 26%, Gozzano 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derthona 1–1 Gozzano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derthona42%fair 2.38 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.10
Gozzano32%fair 3.12 · @2.80
2.46Expected goals
1.40Derthona xG
1.06Gozzano xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Derthona 1.4 – 1.1 Gozzano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Derthona to win✗
42%
2.38
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Derthona (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Gozzano +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Derthona to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Derthona / FT Derthona✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.35
–
Recent results
Derthona – last 6
DDLLDL
3 May
@ Saluzzo
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Imperia
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Città di Varese
0–1
L
2 Apr
vs Celle Varazze
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs Asti
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Cairese
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gozzano – last 6
WLWDDD
3 May
vs Cairese
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Biellese
0–2
L
19 Apr
vs Chisola
3–2
W
2 Apr
vs Lavagnese
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Vado
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Città di Varese
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derthona and Gozzano.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Derthona vs Gozzano?
On our numbers Derthona have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gozzano 32%.
How many goals will there be in Derthona vs Gozzano?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derthona vs Gozzano?
Our predicted score is Derthona 1–1 Gozzano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Derthona vs Gozzano?
Derthona vs Gozzano (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.