Monterrey W 49%Draw 21%Pachuca W 30%Expected goals 2.15 – 1.38
83%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Monterrey W to win @ 2.28 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMonterrey W to win ✓49% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71
Monterrey W vs Pachuca W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 11 May the Liga MX Femenil brings Monterrey W against Pachuca W at Cancha El Barrial. Kick-off: 01:15 WAT. In the table, Monterrey W are 2nd, among the top four, on 37 points after 14 matches; Pachuca W are 10th (lower half) with 19. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Monterrey W, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Pachuca W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Pachuca W, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Monterrey W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Pachuca W, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Monterrey W.
Head to head
When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Pachuca W 2–0 Monterrey W. The last 2 head-to-heads: Monterrey W 1 win, Pachuca W 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monterrey W 2.2 xG, Pachuca W 1.4 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monterrey W 49%, draw 21%, Pachuca W 30%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Monterrey W to win @2.28 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterrey W 2–1 Pachuca W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monterrey W49%fair 2.04 · @2.28
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.70
Pachuca W30%fair 3.35 · @2.76
3.53Expected goals
2.15Monterrey W xG
1.38Pachuca W xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Monterrey W 2.2 – 1.4 Pachuca W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Monterrey W
Pachuca W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
+67%
+19%
Goals conceded vs average
-34%
-17%
Our expected goals here
2.60
1.28
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Monterrey W vs Pachuca W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Monterrey W vs Pachuca W?
On our numbers Monterrey W have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pachuca W 30%.
How many goals will there be in Monterrey W vs Pachuca W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterrey W vs Pachuca W?
Our predicted score is Monterrey W 2–1 Pachuca W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Monterrey W vs Pachuca W?
Monterrey W vs Pachuca W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Cancha El Barrial.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
