Once Caldas vs Junior: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Junior travel to face Once Caldas on Monday 11 May in the Primera A, with Estadio Palogrande the venue – the ball rolls at 00:10 WAT. In the table, Once Caldas are 8th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; Junior are 14th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Once Caldas, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atletico Nacional, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Junior, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cerro Porteno, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Once Caldas 1.5 xG, Junior 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Once Caldas 45%, draw 25%, Junior 29%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Once Caldas 1–1 Junior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Once Caldas45%fair 2.20 · @2.12
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.45
Junior29%fair 3.43 · @3.25
2.63Expected goals
1.53Once Caldas xG
1.10Junior xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Once Caldas 1.5 – 1.1 Junior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Once Caldas
Junior
Attack vs Primera A average
-5%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.49
0.98
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Once Caldas to win✗
45%
2.20
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.73
Draw no bet
Once Caldas (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Junior +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Once Caldas to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Once Caldas / FT Once Caldas✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Once Caldas – last 6
WWDDDL
2 May
vs Atletico Nacional
1–0
W
21 Apr
vs Internacional de Bogota
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Deportivo Pereira
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
30 Mar
@ Llaneros
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Millonarios
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Junior – last 6
LWLWLD
8 May
vs Cerro Porteno
0–1
L
3 May
vs Deportivo Pasto
4–3
W
29 Apr
@ Sporting Cristal
0–2
L
20 Apr
vs Llaneros
2–0
W
14 Apr
@ Cerro Porteno
0–1
L
9 Apr
vs Palmeiras
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Once Caldas and Junior.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Once Caldas vs Junior?
On our numbers Once Caldas have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Junior 29%.
How many goals will there be in Once Caldas vs Junior?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Once Caldas vs Junior?
Our predicted score is Once Caldas 1–1 Junior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Once Caldas vs Junior?
Once Caldas vs Junior (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Palogrande.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
