Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMillonarios to win ✓60% · @1.38
Double chanceMillonarios or draw ✓83% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Millonarios vs Llaneros: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 12 May the Copa Colombia brings Millonarios against Llaneros at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Millonarios are 1st on 10 points after 4 matches; Llaneros are 2nd with 9. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Millonarios, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Boston River, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Llaneros, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Depor FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Millonarios 1.9 xG, Llaneros 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 50% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Millonarios 60%, draw 22%, Llaneros 17%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millonarios 1–1 Llaneros. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Millonarios60%fair 1.66 · @1.38
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.90
Llaneros17%fair 5.80 · @8.90
2.92Expected goals
1.88Millonarios xG
1.04Llaneros xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Millonarios 1.9 – 1.0 Llaneros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Millonarios
Llaneros
Attack vs Copa Colombia average
+21%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.91
1.28
Our own ratings from every Copa Colombia result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millonarios to win✓
60%
1.66
1.38
Double chance
Millonarios or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Millonarios (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Llaneros +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Millonarios to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Millonarios ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millonarios / FT Millonarios✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Millonarios – last 6
WDWLWL
7 May
@ Boston River
4–2
W
29 Apr
vs Sao Paulo
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Deportes Tolima
2–0
W
20 Apr
@ America de Cali
1–3
L
16 Apr
vs Boston River
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ O'Higgins
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Llaneros – last 6
WDLWDD
7 May
vs Depor FC
3–0
W
27 Apr
vs Alianza Valledupar
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Junior
0–2
L
2 Apr
@ Santa Fe
1–0
W
30 Mar
vs Once Caldas
1–1
D
26 Mar
@ America de Cali
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millonarios and Llaneros.
What is the prediction for Millonarios vs Llaneros?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Millonarios vs Llaneros?
On our numbers Millonarios have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Llaneros 17%.
How many goals will there be in Millonarios vs Llaneros?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millonarios vs Llaneros?
Our predicted score is Millonarios 1–1 Llaneros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Millonarios vs Llaneros?
Millonarios vs Llaneros (Copa Colombia) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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