Double chanceIndependiente Medellin or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.24
Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cucuta travel to face Independiente Medellin on Tuesday 2 June in the Copa Colombia, with Estadio Atanasio Girardot the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Independiente Medellin are 1st on 8 points after 4 matches; Cucuta are 4th with 3.
Current form
Independiente Medellin, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Leones FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Cucuta, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Fortaleza FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Independiente Medellin, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Cucuta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente Medellin 1.5 xG, Cucuta 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente Medellin 57%, draw 24%, Cucuta 18%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente Medellin 1–0 Cucuta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente Medellin57%fair 1.75 · @1.61
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.65
Cucuta18%fair 5.43 · @5.10
2.25Expected goals
1.48Independiente Medellin xG
0.77Cucuta xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Independiente Medellin 1.5 – 0.8 Cucuta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Independiente Medellin
Cucuta
Attack vs Copa Colombia average
+25%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.75
1.06
Our own ratings from every Copa Colombia result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Medellin to win✓
57%
1.75
1.61
Double chance
Independiente Medellin or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Draw no bet
Independiente Medellin (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Cucuta +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Independiente Medellin to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente Medellin / FT Independiente Medellin✗
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
Independiente Medellin – last 6
DLWDWW
30 May
@ Leones FC
1–1
D
27 May
@ Estudiantes L.P.
0–1
L
21 May
@ Cusco
3–2
W
16 May
@ Orsomarso
1–1
D
11 May
vs Fortaleza FC
1–0
W
1 May
vs Cusco
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cucuta – last 6
DDDDLW
29 May
vs Fortaleza FC
0–0
D
2 Apr
@ Atletico Nacional
0–0
D
24 Mar
@ Deportivo Pereira
2–2
D
17 Mar
@ Llaneros
2–2
D
10 Mar
@ Millonarios
0–2
L
23 Feb
vs Deportes Tolima
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente Medellin and Cucuta.
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta?
On our numbers Independiente Medellin have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cucuta 18%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta?
Our predicted score is Independiente Medellin 1–0 Cucuta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta?
Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta (Copa Colombia) kicks off on Tuesday 2 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
