Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.92
Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Tuesday 12 May: Union Magdalena v Real Cartagena in the Primera B, played at Estadio Sierra Nevada. In the table, Union Magdalena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 4 matches; Real Cartagena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Union Magdalena, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Real Cartagena, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Real Cartagena, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Union Magdalena, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended Real Cartagena 2–1 Union Magdalena. The last 2 head-to-heads: Union Magdalena 0 wins, Real Cartagena 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Magdalena 1.4 xG, Real Cartagena 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Magdalena 47%, draw 25%, Real Cartagena 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Magdalena 1–1 Real Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Magdalena47%fair 2.13 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.25
Real Cartagena28%fair 3.61 · @3.60
2.54Expected goals
1.42Union Magdalena xG
1.12Real Cartagena xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.4 – 1.1 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Union Magdalena
Real Cartagena
Attack vs Primera B average
+10%
+40%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.38
1.23
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Cartagena 28%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena?
Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
