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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nublense v Universidad de Concepcion: numbers & prediction

Copa Chile · Chile · Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas

Nublense

LDWWL
4–2
FT

Universidad de Concepcion

LLLDL
Nublense 54%Draw 26%Universidad de Concepcion 21% Expected goals 1.58 – 0.88
79%
Betarazi pick

Nublense or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultNublense to win ✓54% · @1.91
Double chanceNublense or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67

Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Friday 26 June: Nublense v Universidad de Concepcion in the Copa Chile, played at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas.

Current form

Nublense, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Curico Unido, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Universidad de Concepcion, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rangers de Talca, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Nublense, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Universidad de Concepcion.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Jun 2026) it ended Nublense 2–1 Universidad de Concepcion. The last 2 head-to-heads: Nublense 2 wins, Universidad de Concepcion 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nublense 1.6 xG, Universidad de Concepcion 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nublense 54%, draw 26%, Universidad de Concepcion 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Nublense or draw (79%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nublense or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nublense 1–0 Universidad de Concepcion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nublense54%fair 1.86 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.25
Universidad de Concepcion21%fair 4.83 · @3.70
2.45Expected goals
1.58Nublense xG
0.88Universidad de Concepcion xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Nublense 1.6 – 0.9 Universidad de Concepcion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNublense to win ✓54%1.861.91
Double chanceNublense or draw ✓79%1.261.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.83
Draw no betNublense (draw no bet) ✓72%1.38–
Asian handicapUniversidad de Concepcion +1 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.441.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.321.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗90%1.11–
First team to scoreNublense to score first59%1.70–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nublense / FT Nublense ✗33%3.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.67–

Recent results

Nublense – last 6

LDWWLW
21 Jun@ Curico Unido0–1L
14 Junvs Huachipato2–2D
6 Junvs Universidad de Concepcion2–1W
29 May@ Cobresal1–0W
17 May@ Colo Colo2–6L
3 Mayvs Cobresal2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Universidad de Concepcion – last 6

LLLDLW
20 Jun@ Rangers de Talca1–2L
14 Jun@ U. Catolica1–5L
6 Jun@ Nublense1–2L
30 Mayvs Union La Calera0–0D
18 Apr@ Deportes Limache0–3L
13 Aprvs Cobresal1–0W
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Jun 2026Nublense v Universidad de Concepcion2–1
31 Mar 2026Universidad de Concepcion v Nublense0–2
Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion head-to-head page →

More Copa Chile predictions

League hub
FT Colo Colo3 O'Higgins2 159%1.70X24%3.55217%4.20 1.9–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion?

Our pick is Nublense or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion?

On our numbers Nublense have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Universidad de Concepcion 21%.

How many goals will there be in Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion?

Our predicted score is Nublense 1–0 Universidad de Concepcion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion?

Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion (Copa Chile) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.