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Universidad de Concepcion v Nublense: numbers & prediction

Copa Chile · Chile · Estadio Ester Roa

Universidad de Concepcion

DLLLL
0–1
FT

Nublense

WWLDW
Universidad de Concepcion 32%Draw 25%Nublense 43% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.63
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultNublense to win ✓43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.99

Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Wednesday 1 July: Universidad de Concepcion v Nublense in the Copa Chile, played at Estadio Ester Roa.

Current form

Universidad de Concepcion, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Curico Unido, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Nublense, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rangers de Talca, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Nublense, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Universidad de Concepcion.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Jun 2026) it ended Nublense 4–2 Universidad de Concepcion. The last 3 head-to-heads: Universidad de Concepcion 0 wins, Nublense 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Universidad de Concepcion 1.4 xG, Nublense 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad de Concepcion 32%, draw 25%, Nublense 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad de Concepcion 1–1 Nublense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Universidad de Concepcion32%fair 3.11 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.45
Nublense43%fair 2.33 · @2.40
2.98Expected goals
1.35Universidad de Concepcion xG
1.63Nublense xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Universidad de Concepcion 1.4 – 1.6 Nublense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNublense to win ✓43%2.332.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.55
Draw no betNublense (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapUniversidad de Concepcion +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.791.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.521.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreNublense to score first ✓52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nublense / FT Nublense ✗26%3.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.99–

Recent results

Universidad de Concepcion – last 6

DLLLLD
28 Jun@ Curico Unido2–2D
26 Jun@ Nublense2–4L
20 Jun@ Rangers de Talca1–2L
14 Jun@ U. Catolica1–5L
6 Jun@ Nublense1–2L
30 Mayvs Union La Calera0–0D
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Nublense – last 6

WWLDWW
28 Jun@ Rangers de Talca1–0W
26 Junvs Universidad de Concepcion4–2W
21 Jun@ Curico Unido0–1L
14 Junvs Huachipato2–2D
6 Junvs Universidad de Concepcion2–1W
29 May@ Cobresal1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jun 2026Nublense v Universidad de Concepcion4–2
6 Jun 2026Nublense v Universidad de Concepcion2–1
31 Mar 2026Universidad de Concepcion v Nublense0–2
Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense head-to-head page →

More Copa Chile predictions

League hub
FT U. Catolica2 Everton de Vina1 159%1.50X22%4.20220%5.00 2.2–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Cobresal0 D. La Serena1 148%1.95X24%3.30228%3.45 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✗
FT Deportes Limache1 Coquimbo Unido1 131%2.85X25%3.40244%2.20 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense?

On our numbers Universidad de Concepcion have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nublense 43%.

How many goals will there be in Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense?

Our predicted score is Universidad de Concepcion 1–1 Nublense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense?

Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense (Copa Chile) kicks off on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ester Roa.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.