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Union La Calera v Santiago Wanderers: numbers & prediction

Copa Chile · Chile
Union La Calera 52%Draw 27%Santiago Wanderers 21% Expected goals 1.79 – 1.13
79%
Betarazi pick

Union La Calera or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 61% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultUnion La Calera to win ✓52% · @1.91
Double chanceUnion La Calera or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24

Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 28 June the Copa Chile brings Union La Calera against Santiago Wanderers. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Union La Calera, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Universidad de Chile, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Santiago Wanderers, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Universidad de Chile, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Union La Calera 1.8 xG, Santiago Wanderers 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Union La Calera 52%, draw 27%, Santiago Wanderers 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Union La Calera or draw (79%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Union La Calera or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union La Calera 1–1 Santiago Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Union La Calera52%fair 1.93 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.30
Santiago Wanderers21%fair 4.69 · @3.60
2.93Expected goals
1.79Union La Calera xG
1.13Santiago Wanderers xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
1–26%
0–16%

From our goals model: Union La Calera 1.8 – 1.1 Santiago Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion La Calera to win ✓52%1.931.91
Double chanceUnion La Calera or draw ✓79%1.271.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.73 ▲
Draw no betUnion La Calera (draw no bet) ✓71%1.41–
Asian handicapSantiago Wanderers +1 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.451.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreUnion La Calera to score first ✓58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union La Calera / FT Union La Calera ✓33%3.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.24–

Recent results

Union La Calera – last 6

DLDWDL
25 Junvs Universidad de Chile3–3D
21 Junvs Union San Felipe0–2L
14 Junvs Universidad de Chile2–2D
7 Jun@ D. La Serena2–0W
30 May@ Universidad de Concepcion0–0D
24 Mayvs Palestino1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Santiago Wanderers – last 6

LLDWWL
21 Jun@ Universidad de Chile1–4L
6 Jun@ Deportes Copiapo0–1L
30 Mayvs Union Espanola2–2D
23 May@ Rangers de Talca2–0W
10 Mayvs Cobreloa5–1W
28 Apr@ Deportes Iquique1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Union La Calera and Santiago Wanderers.

Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers head-to-head page →

More Copa Chile predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers?

Our pick is Union La Calera or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers?

On our numbers Union La Calera have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Santiago Wanderers 21%.

How many goals will there be in Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Union La Calera 1–1 Santiago Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers?

Union La Calera vs Santiago Wanderers (Copa Chile) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.