Brasil DE Pelotas 50%Draw 28%Bagé 22%Expected goals 1.22 – 0.73
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultBrasil DE Pelotas to win ✓50% · @1.91
Double chanceBrasil DE Pelotas or draw ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.78
Brasil DE Pelotas vs Bagé: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Brasil DE Pelotas welcome Bagé for a Copa Gaúcha fixture on Wednesday 27 May (23:30 WAT).
Current form
Brasil DE Pelotas, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Independiente FSJ, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brasil DE Pelotas 1.2 xG, Bagé 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brasil DE Pelotas 50%, draw 28%, Bagé 22%.
Lower-risk option: Brasil DE Pelotas or draw (78%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brasil DE Pelotas 1–0 Bagé. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brasil DE Pelotas50%fair 2.00 · @1.91
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @2.88
Bagé22%fair 4.56 · @4.20
1.95Expected goals
1.22Brasil DE Pelotas xG
0.73Bagé xG
43%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–014%
1–113%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Brasil DE Pelotas 1.2 – 0.7 Bagé expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brasil DE Pelotas to win✓
50%
2.00
1.91
Double chance
Brasil DE Pelotas or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Brasil DE Pelotas (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Bagé +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Brasil DE Pelotas to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brasil DE Pelotas / FT Brasil DE Pelotas✓
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.78
–
Recent results
Brasil DE Pelotas – last 5
DWDWW
24 May
@ Independiente FSJ
0–0
D
21 May
@ Farroupilha
1–0
W
17 May
vs Sao Jose
0–0
D
13 May
vs Guarany de Bagé
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Azuriz
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Bagé – last 2
WW
21 May
@ Guarany de Bagé
1–0
W
14 May
vs Farroupilha
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brasil DE Pelotas and Bagé.
What is the prediction for Brasil DE Pelotas vs Bagé?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Brasil DE Pelotas vs Bagé?
On our numbers Brasil DE Pelotas have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Bagé 22%.
How many goals will there be in Brasil DE Pelotas vs Bagé?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brasil DE Pelotas vs Bagé?
Our predicted score is Brasil DE Pelotas 1–0 Bagé, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Brasil DE Pelotas vs Bagé?
Brasil DE Pelotas vs Bagé (Copa Gaúcha) kicks off on Wednesday 27 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Gaúcha · Brazil
