Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGramadense to win ✓44% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Gramadense vs Monsoon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 11 June the Copa Gaúcha brings Gramadense against Monsoon. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Gramadense, last 4: WDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Brasil Farroupilha, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Monsoon, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Santa Cruz RS, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Gramadense, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.6 for Monsoon.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Monsoon 1–2 Gramadense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gramadense 1.4 xG, Monsoon 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gramadense 44%, draw 27%, Monsoon 29%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gramadense 1–1 Monsoon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gramadense44%fair 2.25 · @2.35
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.10
Monsoon29%fair 3.46 · @2.90
2.41Expected goals
1.40Gramadense xG
1.01Monsoon xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Gramadense 1.4 – 1.0 Monsoon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Gramadense vs Monsoon?
On our numbers Gramadense have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Monsoon 29%.
How many goals will there be in Gramadense vs Monsoon?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gramadense vs Monsoon?
Our predicted score is Gramadense 1–1 Monsoon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gramadense vs Monsoon?
Gramadense vs Monsoon (Copa Gaúcha) kicks off on Thursday 11 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Gaúcha · Brazil
