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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Brasil DE Pelotas v Farroupilha: numbers & prediction

Copa Gaúcha · Brazil
4–0
FT
Brasil DE Pelotas 68%Draw 19%Farroupilha 13% Expected goals 1.66 – 0.64
52%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 2.10 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.10Odds

Picks by market

ResultBrasil DE Pelotas to win ✓68% · @1.17
Double chanceBrasil DE Pelotas or draw ✓87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00

Brasil DE Pelotas vs Farroupilha: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:30 WAT, Wednesday 10 June: Brasil DE Pelotas v Farroupilha in the Copa Gaúcha.

Current form

Brasil DE Pelotas, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Azuriz, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Farroupilha, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Guarany de Bagé, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Brasil DE Pelotas, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Farroupilha.

Head to head

When they last met (21 May 2026) it ended Farroupilha 0–1 Brasil DE Pelotas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Brasil DE Pelotas 1.7 xG, Farroupilha 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 41%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Brasil DE Pelotas 68%, draw 19%, Farroupilha 13%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.91, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brasil DE Pelotas 1–0 Farroupilha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Brasil DE Pelotas68%fair 1.48 · @1.17
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @6.00
Farroupilha13%fair 7.42 · @15.00
2.30Expected goals
1.66Brasil DE Pelotas xG
0.64Farroupilha xG
41%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Brasil DE Pelotas 1.7 – 0.6 Farroupilha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBrasil DE Pelotas to win ✓68%1.481.17
Double chanceBrasil DE Pelotas or draw ✓87%1.161.01
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓59%1.70–
Draw no betBrasil DE Pelotas (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapBrasil DE Pelotas -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.912.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreBrasil DE Pelotas to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Brasil DE Pelotas / FT Brasil DE Pelotas ✓38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%6.00–

Recent results

Brasil DE Pelotas – last 6

DDLWDW
7 Jun@ Azuriz1–1D
4 Jun@ Bagé1–1D
31 Mayvs Blumenau1–2L
27 Mayvs Bagé1–0W
24 May@ Independiente FSJ0–0D
21 May@ Farroupilha1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Farroupilha – last 3

DLL
3 Junvs Guarany de Bagé1–1D
21 Mayvs Brasil DE Pelotas0–1L
14 May@ Bagé0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 May 2026Farroupilha v Brasil DE Pelotas0–1
Brasil DE Pelotas vs Farroupilha head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brasil DE Pelotas vs Farroupilha?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.

Who will win Brasil DE Pelotas vs Farroupilha?

On our numbers Brasil DE Pelotas have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Farroupilha 13%.

How many goals will there be in Brasil DE Pelotas vs Farroupilha?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Brasil DE Pelotas vs Farroupilha?

Our predicted score is Brasil DE Pelotas 1–0 Farroupilha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Brasil DE Pelotas vs Farroupilha?

Brasil DE Pelotas vs Farroupilha (Copa Gaúcha) kicks off on Wednesday 10 June 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.