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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Azuaga v Moralo: numbers & prediction

Azuaga

WDWWL
0–1
FT

Moralo

DDWLW
Azuaga 44%Draw 27%Moralo 29% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.05
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultAzuaga to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.26

Azuaga vs Moralo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Azuaga v Moralo in the Tercera División RFEF Group 14. In the table, Azuaga are 1st, leading the league, on 23 points after 10 matches; Moralo are 3rd (among the top four) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Azuaga, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Montijo, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Moralo, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Azuaga, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Moralo 1–1 Azuaga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Azuaga 1.4 xG, Moralo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Azuaga 44%, draw 27%, Moralo 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Azuaga 1–1 Moralo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Azuaga44%fair 2.29 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.10
Moralo29%fair 3.39 · @3.20
2.43Expected goals
1.38Azuaga xG
1.05Moralo xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: Azuaga 1.4 – 1.1 Moralo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAzuaga to win ✗44%2.292.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.83–
Draw no betAzuaga (draw no bet) ✗60%1.68–
Asian handicapMoralo +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.801.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreAzuaga to score first ✗52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Azuaga / FT Azuaga ✗26%3.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.26–

Recent results

Azuaga – last 6

WDWWLW
2 Mayvs Montijo4–2W
26 Apr@ Moralo1–1D
19 Aprvs Diocesano2–0W
12 Apr@ Villafranca2–0W
5 Apr@ Don Benito0–1L
29 Mar@ Santa Amalia3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Moralo – last 6

DDWLWW
26 Aprvs Azuaga1–1D
12 Aprvs Calamonte1–1D
2 Apr@ Puebla Calzada2–0W
29 Marvs Jaraíz0–1L
22 Mar@ Montehermoso2–1W
15 Marvs Villanovense3–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Moralo v Azuaga1–1
Azuaga vs Moralo head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 14 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Azuaga10721+1223
2Llerenense10640+822
3Moralo10631+621
4Castuera10622+1220
5Villanovense10532+918
6Puebla Calzada10523+517
7CD Zafra10343+413
8Cabeza Buey10343+113
9Quintana10343+113
10Villafranca10415013
11Jaraíz10334+212
12Santa Amalia10262+212
13Gévora10334-212
14Jerez10334-412
15Plasencia10154-78
16Montijo10226-88
17Atlético Pueblonuevo10046-154
18Guadiana10019-261

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Azuaga vs Moralo?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Azuaga vs Moralo?

On our numbers Azuaga have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Moralo 29%.

How many goals will there be in Azuaga vs Moralo?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Azuaga vs Moralo?

Our predicted score is Azuaga 1–1 Moralo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Azuaga vs Moralo?

Azuaga vs Moralo (Tercera División RFEF Group 14) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.