Ligorna 61%Draw 24%Città di Varese 15%Expected goals 1.88 – 0.89
61%
Betarazi pick
Ligorna to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultLigorna to win ✓61% · @1.53
Double chanceLigorna or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.49
Ligorna vs Città di Varese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Ligorna v Città di Varese in the Serie D Girone A.
Current form
Ligorna, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chisola, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Città di Varese, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Lavagnese, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Città di Varese 1–3 Ligorna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ligorna 1.9 xG, Città di Varese 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ligorna 61%, draw 24%, Città di Varese 15%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ligorna to win (61%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ligorna 1–0 Città di Varese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ligorna61%fair 1.64 · @1.53
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.50
Città di Varese15%fair 6.72 · @5.50
2.77Expected goals
1.88Ligorna xG
0.89Città di Varese xG
46%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Ligorna 1.9 – 0.9 Città di Varese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ligorna vs Città di Varese?
Our pick is Ligorna to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Ligorna vs Città di Varese?
On our numbers Ligorna have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Città di Varese 15%.
How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs Città di Varese?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ligorna vs Città di Varese?
Our predicted score is Ligorna 1–0 Città di Varese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ligorna vs Città di Varese?
Ligorna vs Città di Varese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
