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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Prato v Seravezza: numbers & prediction

Prato

DWWWW
1–2
FT
Prato 55%Draw 26%Seravezza 19% Expected goals 1.60 – 0.78
81%
Betarazi pick

Prato or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultPrato to win ✗55% · @1.91
Double chancePrato or draw ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.75

Prato vs Seravezza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Prato welcome Seravezza for a Serie D Girone E fixture on Sunday 17 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, Prato are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 11 matches; Seravezza are 10th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Prato, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Robur Siena, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Seravezza, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Donato Tavarnelle, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Prato, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Seravezza.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Prato 1–0 Seravezza.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Prato 1.6 xG, Seravezza 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Prato 55%, draw 26%, Seravezza 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Prato or draw (81%) at 1.22.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Prato or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Prato 1–0 Seravezza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Prato55%fair 1.82 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.20
Seravezza19%fair 5.23 · @3.50
2.38Expected goals
1.60Prato xG
0.78Seravezza xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Prato 1.6 – 0.8 Seravezza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

PratoSeravezza
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average+29%+12%
Goals conceded vs average-34%-14%
Our expected goals here1.710.76

Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPrato to win ✗55%1.821.91
Double chancePrato or draw ✗81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.82–
Draw no betPrato (draw no bet) ✗74%1.35–
Asian handicapSeravezza +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.761.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scorePrato to score first ✗61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Prato / FT Prato ✗35%2.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.75–

Recent results

Prato – last 6

DWWWWW
10 Mayvs Robur Siena1–1D
3 Mayvs Montevarchi Calcio1–0W
26 Apr@ Sporting Trestina2–0W
19 Aprvs Grosseto1–0W
2 Aprvs Seravezza1–0W
22 Marvs San Donato Tavarnelle1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Seravezza – last 6

DDLLWD
3 May@ San Donato Tavarnelle1–1D
26 Aprvs Foligno Calcio0–0D
19 Apr@ Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano0–1L
2 Apr@ Prato0–1L
29 Marvs Terranuova Traiana2–0W
22 Mar@ Sansepolcro1–1D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Apr 2026Prato v Seravezza1–0
Prato vs Seravezza head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone E table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Prato11740+1325
2Robur Siena11713+1422
3Ternana11632+1221
4Gavorrano11560+721
5Flaminia11542+219
6Lucchese11533+318
7Terranuova Traiana11452+417
8Tau Altopascio11524-417
9Montevarchi Calcio11515+216
10Seravezza11434+515
11Scandicci11434+315
12San Donato Tavarnelle11425-214
13Sasso Marconi Zola11326-211
14Mezzolara11182-611
15Rondinella11245-810
16Grassina11146-117
17Progresso11209-166
18Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano11038-163

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Prato vs Seravezza?

Our pick is Prato or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Prato vs Seravezza?

On our numbers Prato have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Seravezza 19%.

How many goals will there be in Prato vs Seravezza?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Prato vs Seravezza?

Our predicted score is Prato 1–0 Seravezza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Prato vs Seravezza?

Prato vs Seravezza (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.