Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.16
Martina Franca vs Paganese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Martina Franca v Paganese in the Serie D Girone H.
Current form
Martina Franca, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nola 1925, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Paganese, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Città di Fasano, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Paganese 3–2 Martina Franca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Martina Franca 1.5 xG, Paganese 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Martina Franca 47%, draw 25%, Paganese 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Martina Franca 1–1 Paganese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Martina Franca47%fair 2.13 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.10
Paganese28%fair 3.61 · @3.20
2.49Expected goals
1.48Martina Franca xG
1.01Paganese xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Martina Franca 1.5 – 1.0 Paganese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Martina Franca vs Paganese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Martina Franca vs Paganese?
On our numbers Martina Franca have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Paganese 28%.
How many goals will there be in Martina Franca vs Paganese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Martina Franca vs Paganese?
Our predicted score is Martina Franca 1–1 Paganese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Martina Franca vs Paganese?
Martina Franca vs Paganese (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
