Value bet: Deportivo Saprissa to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCS Herediano to win ✓37% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.61
CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Saprissa travel to face CS Herediano on Sunday 17 May in the Primera División, with Estadio Carlos Alvarado the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, CS Herediano are 8th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Saprissa are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CS Herediano, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Deportivo Saprissa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Saprissa, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over CS Herediano, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Deportivo Saprissa, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for CS Herediano.
Head to head
When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Deportivo Saprissa 2–1 CS Herediano. The last 2 head-to-heads: CS Herediano 0 wins, Deportivo Saprissa 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CS Herediano 1.1 xG, Deportivo Saprissa 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CS Herediano 37%, draw 28%, Deportivo Saprissa 36%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Saprissa to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: CS Herediano 1–1 Deportivo Saprissa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CS Herediano37%fair 2.70 · @2.10
Draw28%fair 3.64 · @3.20
Deportivo Saprissa36%fair 2.82 · @3.25
2.36Expected goals
1.12CS Herediano xG
1.24Deportivo Saprissa xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: CS Herediano 1.1 – 1.2 Deportivo Saprissa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa?
On our numbers CS Herediano have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Deportivo Saprissa 36%.
How many goals will there be in CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Our predicted score is CS Herediano 1–1 Deportivo Saprissa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa?
CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Alvarado.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
