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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Netherlands v Uzbekistan: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Icahn Stadium

Netherlands

LDW
2–1
FT

Uzbekistan

LW
Netherlands 63%Draw 21%Uzbekistan 16% Expected goals 1.92 – 1.09
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNetherlands to win ✓63% · @1.26
Double chanceNetherlands or draw ✓84% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.10

Netherlands vs Uzbekistan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Uzbekistan travel to face Netherlands on Monday 8 June in the Friendlies, with Icahn Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Netherlands, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Algeria, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Netherlands 1.9 xG, Uzbekistan 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Netherlands 63%, draw 21%, Uzbekistan 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Netherlands 1–1 Uzbekistan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Netherlands63%fair 1.58 · @1.26
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @5.25
Uzbekistan16%fair 6.38 · @11.50
3.02Expected goals
1.92Netherlands xG
1.09Uzbekistan xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Netherlands 1.9 – 1.1 Uzbekistan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

NetherlandsUzbekistan
Attack vs Friendlies average-6%+13%
Goals conceded vs average-5%+3%
Our expected goals here1.661.31

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNetherlands to win ✓63%1.581.26
Double chanceNetherlands or draw ✓84%1.191.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.80 ▲
Draw no betNetherlands (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapUzbekistan +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.601.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.261.22
First team to scoreNetherlands to score first ✓61%1.65–
Half-time resultNetherlands ahead at half-time ✓42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Netherlands / FT Netherlands ✓36%2.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.10–

Recent results

Netherlands – last 3

LDW
3 Junvs Algeria0–1L
31 Marvs Ecuador1–1D
27 Marvs Norway2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Uzbekistan – last 2

LW
2 Jun@ Canada0–2L
27 Marvs Gabon3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Netherlands and Uzbekistan.

Netherlands vs Uzbekistan head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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FT Colombia2 Jordan0 167%1.19X20%6.80213%12.00 2.1–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.60 ✓
FT Japan U213 Ukraine U210 156%1.85X25%3.40219%3.70 1.7–0.9xG 1XJapan U21 or draw 81%@1.20 ✓
FT Latvia U193 Estonia U192 121%3.25X18%3.40261%1.85 0.9–1.8xG 2Estonia U19 to win 61%@1.85 ✗
FT Saudi Arabia U200 Panama U200 139%2.15X21%3.30239%2.80 1.1–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Iraq U200 Jordan U200 140%2.25X23%3.00237%2.90 1.1–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Norway U210 Finland U212 152%1.60X23%3.95226%4.50 1.9–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✗
FT Italy U211 Albania U210 172%1.28X16%5.00212%8.25 2.5–0.9xG 1Italy U21 to win 72%@1.28 ✓
FT Niger0 Mauritania1 140%2.25X24%2.95235%3.20 1.0–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.55 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Netherlands vs Uzbekistan?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Netherlands vs Uzbekistan?

On our numbers Netherlands have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Uzbekistan 16%.

How many goals will there be in Netherlands vs Uzbekistan?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Netherlands vs Uzbekistan?

Our predicted score is Netherlands 1–1 Uzbekistan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Netherlands vs Uzbekistan?

Netherlands vs Uzbekistan (Friendlies) kicks off on Monday 8 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Icahn Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.