Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Primera B brings Barranquilla against Union Magdalena at Estadio Romelio Martinez. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Barranquilla are 15th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Union Magdalena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4.
Current form
Barranquilla, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bogota FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Union Magdalena, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Real Cartagena, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Union Magdalena, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Barranquilla.
Head to head
When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Union Magdalena 2–0 Barranquilla. The last 2 head-to-heads: Barranquilla 0 wins, Union Magdalena 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barranquilla 1.1 xG, Union Magdalena 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barranquilla 25%, draw 26%, Union Magdalena 49%.
Lower-risk option: Union Magdalena or draw (75%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barranquilla 1–1 Union Magdalena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barranquilla25%fair 3.94 · @3.75
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.35
Union Magdalena49%fair 2.04 · @1.85
2.51Expected goals
1.07Barranquilla xG
1.44Union Magdalena xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Barranquilla 1.1 – 1.4 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Barranquilla
Union Magdalena
Attack vs Primera B average
+4%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
+19%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.10
1.26
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
On our numbers Barranquilla have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Union Magdalena 49%.
How many goals will there be in Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
Our predicted score is Barranquilla 1–1 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena?
Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romelio Martinez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
