Bogota FC vs Real Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:40 WAT, Monday 18 May: Bogota FC v Real Cartagena in the Primera B, played at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. In the table, Bogota FC are 10th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 15 matches; Real Cartagena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bogota FC, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Barranquilla, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Real Cartagena, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Union Magdalena, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Real Cartagena 2–0 Bogota FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bogota FC 1.0 xG, Real Cartagena 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bogota FC 31%, draw 28%, Real Cartagena 41%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bogota FC 1–1 Real Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bogota FC31%fair 3.22 · @3.10
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.00
Real Cartagena41%fair 2.45 · @2.25
2.29Expected goals
1.05Bogota FC xG
1.25Real Cartagena xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Bogota FC 1.0 – 1.2 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bogota FC
Real Cartagena
Attack vs Primera B average
-19%
+40%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.02
1.22
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Bogota FC vs Real Cartagena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bogota FC vs Real Cartagena?
On our numbers Bogota FC have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Real Cartagena 41%.
How many goals will there be in Bogota FC vs Real Cartagena?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bogota FC vs Real Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Bogota FC 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bogota FC vs Real Cartagena?
Bogota FC vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 01:40 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
