Fernando De La Mora vs Independiente F.b.c.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Thursday 14 May: Fernando De La Mora v Independiente F.b.c. in the Division Intermedia. In the table, Fernando De La Mora are 12th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Independiente F.b.c. are 6th (upper half) with 43.
Current form
Fernando De La Mora, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atlético Tembetary, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Independiente F.b.c., last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Guairena FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Independiente F.b.c., collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Fernando De La Mora.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fernando De La Mora 1.2 xG, Independiente F.b.c. 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fernando De La Mora 36%, draw 28%, Independiente F.b.c. 36%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.85, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fernando De La Mora 1–1 Independiente F.b.c.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fernando De La Mora36%fair 2.78 · @2.40
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @2.75
Independiente F.b.c.36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
2.44Expected goals
1.22Fernando De La Mora xG
1.22Independiente F.b.c. xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Fernando De La Mora 1.2 – 1.2 Independiente F.b.c. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fernando De La Mora to win✗
36%
2.78
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Fernando De La Mora (draw no bet)
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Fernando De La Mora +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Independiente F.b.c. to score first✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente F.b.c. / FT Independiente F.b.c.✗
21%
4.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.68
–
Recent results
Fernando De La Mora – last 4
WWLL
4 May
vs Atlético Tembetary
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Benjamín Aceval
1–0
W
21 Apr
vs Sportivo Carapeguá
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Encarnación
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Independiente F.b.c. – last 3
WDW
26 Apr
vs Guairena FC
2–0
W
17 Apr
@ Resistencia
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs SOL DE America
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fernando De La Mora and Independiente F.b.c..
What is the prediction for Fernando De La Mora vs Independiente F.b.c.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Fernando De La Mora vs Independiente F.b.c.?
On our numbers Fernando De La Mora have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Independiente F.b.c. 36%.
How many goals will there be in Fernando De La Mora vs Independiente F.b.c.?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fernando De La Mora vs Independiente F.b.c.?
Our predicted score is Fernando De La Mora 1–1 Independiente F.b.c., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Fernando De La Mora vs Independiente F.b.c.?
Fernando De La Mora vs Independiente F.b.c. (Division Intermedia) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
