Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 54% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRiver Plate to win ✓57% · @1.52
Double chanceRiver Plate or draw ✓81% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
River Plate vs Gimnasia L.P.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimnasia L.P. travel to face River Plate on Thursday 14 May in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Monumental the venue – the ball rolls at 01:45 WAT. In the table, River Plate are 7th, upper half, on 55 points after 32 matches; Gimnasia L.P. are 5th (upper half) with 57. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
River Plate, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Carabobo FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gimnasia L.P., last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Velez Sarsfield, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours River Plate, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Gimnasia L.P..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give River Plate 1.5 xG, Gimnasia L.P. 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – River Plate 57%, draw 24%, Gimnasia L.P. 19%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: River Plate 1–0 Gimnasia L.P.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
River Plate57%fair 1.76 · @1.52
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.75
Gimnasia L.P.19%fair 5.31 · @7.00
2.43Expected goals
1.55River Plate xG
0.88Gimnasia L.P. xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: River Plate 1.5 – 0.9 Gimnasia L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
River Plate to win✓
57%
1.76
1.52
Double chance
River Plate or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
River Plate (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia L.P. +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.06
First team to score
River Plate to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT River Plate / FT River Plate✓
32%
3.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.75
–
Recent results
River Plate – last 6
WWWWWD
8 May
@ Carabobo FC
2–1
W
1 May
@ RB Bragantino
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Aldosivi
3–1
W
16 Apr
vs Carabobo FC
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Racing Club
2–0
W
9 Apr
@ Blooming
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gimnasia L.P. – last 6
WWWWLL
11 May
@ Velez Sarsfield
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Acassuso
3–0
W
13 Apr
@ Sarmiento Junin
2–1
W
10 Apr
vs Deportivo Camioneros
4–1
W
5 Apr
vs Huracan
0–3
L
21 Mar
@ Atletico Tucuman
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between River Plate and Gimnasia L.P..
What is the prediction for River Plate vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win River Plate vs Gimnasia L.P.?
On our numbers River Plate have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimnasia L.P. 19%.
How many goals will there be in River Plate vs Gimnasia L.P.?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for River Plate vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Our predicted score is River Plate 1–0 Gimnasia L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is River Plate vs Gimnasia L.P.?
River Plate vs Gimnasia L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 01:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
