Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cruz Azul welcome Guadalajara Chivas to Estadio Cuauhtemoc for a Liga MX fixture on Thursday 14 May (03:00 WAT). In the table, Cruz Azul are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd (among the top four) with 30. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cruz Azul, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atlas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Guadalajara Chivas, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tigres UANL, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Guadalajara Chivas.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Cruz Azul 2–1 Guadalajara Chivas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruz Azul 1.6 xG, Guadalajara Chivas 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruz Azul 44%, draw 24%, Guadalajara Chivas 32%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruz Azul 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruz Azul44%fair 2.27 · @2.18
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.40
Guadalajara Chivas32%fair 3.17 · @3.15
2.93Expected goals
1.59Cruz Azul xG
1.34Guadalajara Chivas xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 1.6 – 1.3 Guadalajara Chivas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
Attack vs Liga MX average
+40%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-25%
Our expected goals here
1.68
1.47
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guadalajara Chivas 32%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
