Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:07 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Guadalajara Chivas v Cruz Azul in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Akron. In the table, Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Cruz Azul are 1st (leading the league) with 32. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Guadalajara Chivas, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cruz Azul, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Cruz Azul, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Guadalajara Chivas, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Guadalajara Chivas.
Head to head
When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Cruz Azul 2–2 Guadalajara Chivas. The last 2 head-to-heads: Guadalajara Chivas 0 wins, Cruz Azul 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara Chivas 1.6 xG, Cruz Azul 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara Chivas 42%, draw 24%, Cruz Azul 34%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Cruz Azul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guadalajara Chivas42%fair 2.40 · @2.18
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.45
Cruz Azul34%fair 2.94 · @3.10
2.96Expected goals
1.57Guadalajara Chivas xG
1.39Cruz Azul xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Guadalajara Chivas 1.6 – 1.4 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
Attack vs Liga MX average
+8%
+40%
Goals conceded vs average
-25%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.68
1.46
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers Guadalajara Chivas have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cruz Azul 34%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul?
Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 02:07 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
