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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Monterrey W v América W: numbers & prediction

Liga MX Femenil · Mexico · Cancha El Barrial
1–0
FT
Monterrey W 26%Draw 20%América W 54% Expected goals 1.62 – 2.15
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultAmérica W to win ✗54% · @1.71
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57

Monterrey W vs América W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Monterrey W welcome América W to Cancha El Barrial for a Liga MX Femenil fixture on Friday 15 May (04:10 WAT). In the table, Monterrey W are 2nd, among the top four, on 37 points after 14 matches; América W are 1st (leading the league) with 37. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Monterrey W, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Pachuca W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

América W, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 7–1 win over Toluca W, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours América W, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Monterrey W.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Feb 2026) it ended América W 1–1 Monterrey W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Monterrey W 1.6 xG, América W 2.1 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Monterrey W 26%, draw 20%, América W 54%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterrey W 1–2 América W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Monterrey W26%fair 3.90 · @4.10
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @4.10
América W54%fair 1.84 · @1.71
3.76Expected goals
1.62Monterrey W xG
2.15América W xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–25%

From our goals model: Monterrey W 1.6 – 2.1 América W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Monterrey WAmérica W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average+67%+108%
Goals conceded vs average-34%-37%
Our expected goals here1.982.23

Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAmérica W to win ✗54%1.841.71
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.541.45
Draw no betAmérica W (draw no bet) ✗68%1.47–
Asian handicapMonterrey W +1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.171.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68%1.461.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.921.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.421.28
First team to scoreAmérica W to score first ✗56%1.79–
Half-time resultAmérica W ahead at half-time ✗39%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT América W / FT América W ✗31%3.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.57–

Recent results

Monterrey W – last 6

WLWDLD
11 Mayvs Pachuca W4–1W
8 May@ Pachuca W0–2L
3 Mayvs Cruz Azul W4–0W
30 Apr@ Cruz Azul W1–1D
25 Aprvs Tigres UANL W0–3L
6 Apr@ Juárez W1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

América W – last 6

WDWWWW
8 May@ Toluca W7–1W
30 Apr@ Juárez W1–1D
25 Aprvs Pachuca W3–2W
5 Apr@ Querétaro W4–1W
2 Aprvs Atlas W2–0W
26 Mar@ Tigres UANL W1–0W
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Feb 2026América W v Monterrey W1–1
Monterrey W vs América W head-to-head page →

Liga MX Femenil table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1América W141211+5037
2Monterrey W141211+3437
3Tigres UANL W141121+3535
4Guadalajara W141004+1730
5Juárez W141004+930
6Toluca W14833+927
7León W14815+325
8Santos Laguna W14716-422
9Pumas UNAM W14626-220
10Pachuca W14617+919
11Atlético San Luis W14617-419
12Cruz Azul W14608-918
13Atlas W14455-1417
14Tijuana W14329-1511
15Querétaro W142111-207
16Atlante W142111-207
17Puebla W141112-294
18Necaxa W140113-491

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monterrey W vs América W?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Monterrey W vs América W?

On our numbers Monterrey W have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 20% and América W 54%.

How many goals will there be in Monterrey W vs América W?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Monterrey W vs América W?

Our predicted score is Monterrey W 1–2 América W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Monterrey W vs América W?

Monterrey W vs América W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Friday 15 May 2026 at 04:10 (West Africa Time) at Cancha El Barrial.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.