Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.45
Union Comercio vs Deportivo Llacuabamba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Llacuabamba travel to face Union Comercio on Sunday 17 May in the Segunda División – the ball rolls at 21:15 WAT. In the table, Union Comercio are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Llacuabamba are 3rd (among the top four) with 28.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Comercio 1.3 xG, Deportivo Llacuabamba 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Comercio 53%, draw 26%, Deportivo Llacuabamba 22%.
Lower-risk option: Union Comercio or draw (78%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Comercio 1–0 Deportivo Llacuabamba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Comercio53%fair 1.90 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.50
Deportivo Llacuabamba22%fair 4.62 · @4.10
2.13Expected goals
1.31Union Comercio xG
0.82Deportivo Llacuabamba xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–012%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Union Comercio 1.3 – 0.8 Deportivo Llacuabamba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Comercio to win✗
53%
1.90
1.73
Double chance
Union Comercio or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Union Comercio (draw no bet)
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Llacuabamba +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Union Comercio to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Comercio / FT Union Comercio✗
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.45
–
Recent results
Union Comercio – last 1
W
27 Mar
@ San Marcos
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Deportivo Llacuabamba – last 1
W
29 Mar
vs Carlos A. Mannucci
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Comercio and Deportivo Llacuabamba.
What is the prediction for Union Comercio vs Deportivo Llacuabamba?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Union Comercio vs Deportivo Llacuabamba?
On our numbers Union Comercio have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Llacuabamba 22%.
How many goals will there be in Union Comercio vs Deportivo Llacuabamba?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Comercio vs Deportivo Llacuabamba?
Our predicted score is Union Comercio 1–0 Deportivo Llacuabamba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Union Comercio vs Deportivo Llacuabamba?
Union Comercio vs Deportivo Llacuabamba (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
