AF Elbasani 37%Draw 27%Egnatia Rrogozhinë 36%Expected goals 1.11 – 1.30
58%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAF Elbasani to win ✗37% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.00
AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Superliga brings AF Elbasani against Egnatia Rrogozhinë at Air Albania Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, AF Elbasani are 6th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 1st (leading the league) with 27. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AF Elbasani, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Tirana, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Dinamo Tirana, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1 AF Elbasani. The last 2 head-to-heads: AF Elbasani 0 wins, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AF Elbasani 1.1 xG, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AF Elbasani 37%, draw 27%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 36%.
Price worth noting: Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: AF Elbasani 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AF Elbasani37%fair 2.69 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.88
Egnatia Rrogozhinë36%fair 2.80 · @3.40
2.41Expected goals
1.11AF Elbasani xG
1.30Egnatia Rrogozhinë xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: AF Elbasani 1.1 – 1.3 Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
On our numbers AF Elbasani have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 36%.
How many goals will there be in AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our predicted score is AF Elbasani 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Air Albania Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
