Double chanceDeportivo Maldonado or draw ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:30 WAT, Monday 18 May: Deportivo Maldonado v Danubio in the Primera División Apertura. In the table, Deportivo Maldonado are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 13 matches; Danubio are 14th (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportivo Maldonado, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Boston River, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Danubio, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Defensor Sporting, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Maldonado 1.5 xG, Danubio 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Maldonado 51%, draw 27%, Danubio 22%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Maldonado or draw (78%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo Maldonado or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 Danubio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Maldonado51%fair 1.96 · @1.98
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.20
Danubio22%fair 4.45 · @3.70
2.29Expected goals
1.53Deportivo Maldonado xG
0.77Danubio xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maldonado 1.5 – 0.8 Danubio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
+14%
-33%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.45
0.55
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Maldonado to win✓
51%
1.96
1.98
Double chance
Deportivo Maldonado or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.93
Draw no bet
Deportivo Maldonado (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Danubio +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Deportivo Maldonado to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Maldonado / FT Deportivo Maldonado✓
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Deportivo Maldonado – last 6
WLWLDW
11 May
vs Boston River
2–1
W
31 Mar
@ Central Espanol
1–2
L
24 Mar
vs Atletico Torque
1–0
W
20 Mar
@ Cerro Largo
1–3
L
7 Mar
@ Wanderers
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Juventud
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Danubio – last 5
DWDLW
26 Mar
vs Defensor Sporting
0–0
D
16 Mar
vs Juventud
4–1
W
8 Mar
@ Penarol
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Racing Montevideo
0–4
L
15 Feb
vs Boston River
2–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Maldonado and Danubio.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
Our pick is Deportivo Maldonado or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
On our numbers Deportivo Maldonado have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Danubio 22%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 Danubio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
