Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Palermo to win @ 1.84 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPalermo to win ✓63% · @1.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Palermo vs Catanzaro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Wednesday 20 May: Palermo v Catanzaro in the Serie B, played at Stadio Renzo Barbera. In the table, Palermo are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 11 matches; Catanzaro are 20th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Palermo, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Catanzaro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Catanzaro, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Palermo, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Catanzaro 3–0 Palermo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Palermo 1 win, Catanzaro 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palermo 2.2 xG, Catanzaro 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palermo 63%, draw 18%, Catanzaro 20%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Palermo to win @1.84 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palermo 2–1 Catanzaro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palermo63%fair 1.60 · @1.84
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @4.10
Catanzaro20%fair 5.10 · @3.50
3.28Expected goals
2.24Palermo xG
1.04Catanzaro xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Palermo 2.2 – 1.0 Catanzaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Palermo vs Catanzaro?
On our numbers Palermo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Catanzaro 20%.
How many goals will there be in Palermo vs Catanzaro?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Catanzaro?
Our predicted score is Palermo 2–1 Catanzaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Palermo vs Catanzaro?
Palermo vs Catanzaro (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renzo Barbera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
