Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultOriental to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.33
Oriental vs La Luz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 18 May the Segunda División brings Oriental against La Luz. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Oriental are 6th, upper half, on 34 points after 25 matches; La Luz are 9th (lower half) with 34. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Oriental, last 4: LWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Fenix, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
La Luz, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cerrito, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Oriental, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for La Luz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oriental 1.2 xG, La Luz 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oriental 41%, draw 28%, La Luz 31%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oriental 1–1 La Luz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oriental41%fair 2.42 · @2.50
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.00
La Luz31%fair 3.23 · @2.75
2.18Expected goals
1.23Oriental xG
0.96La Luz xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Oriental 1.2 – 1.0 La Luz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Oriental
La Luz
Attack vs Segunda División average
+10%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.38
0.98
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oriental to win✗
41%
2.42
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.95
Draw no bet
Oriental (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
La Luz +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Oriental to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oriental / FT Oriental✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.33
–
Recent results
Oriental – last 4
LWWD
3 May
@ Fenix
0–1
L
20 Apr
@ Rentistas
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Miramar
2–1
W
23 Mar
vs Colón
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
La Luz – last 3
DDD
19 Apr
@ Cerrito
0–0
D
28 Mar
vs Sportivo Huracan
2–2
D
17 Mar
@ Tacuarembo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oriental and La Luz.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Oriental vs La Luz?
On our numbers Oriental have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and La Luz 31%.
How many goals will there be in Oriental vs La Luz?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oriental vs La Luz?
Our predicted score is Oriental 1–1 La Luz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Oriental vs La Luz?
Oriental vs La Luz (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
