Wednesday 11 November 2026 19 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Yacoub El Mansour v Maghreb Fès: numbers & prediction

Cup · Morocco

Yacoub El Mansour

WDDWL
1–0
FT

Maghreb Fès

LWDWD
Yacoub El Mansour 23%Draw 27%Maghreb Fès 49% Expected goals 0.90 – 1.23
81%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMaghreb Fès to win ✗49% · @1.80
Double chanceMaghreb Fès or draw ✗77% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.33

Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fès: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 17 May the Cup brings Yacoub El Mansour against Maghreb Fès. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Yacoub El Mansour, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kawkab Marrakech, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Maghreb Fès, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Raja Casablanca, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Maghreb Fès, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Yacoub El Mansour.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Yacoub El Mansour 1–2 Maghreb Fès.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Yacoub El Mansour 0.9 xG, Maghreb Fès 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Yacoub El Mansour 23%, draw 27%, Maghreb Fès 49%.
  • Lower-risk option: Maghreb Fès or draw (77%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yacoub El Mansour 0–1 Maghreb Fès. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Yacoub El Mansour23%fair 4.31 · @4.00
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.25
Maghreb Fès49%fair 2.03 · @1.80
2.13Expected goals
0.90Yacoub El Mansour xG
1.23Maghreb Fès xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Yacoub El Mansour 0.9 – 1.2 Maghreb Fès expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMaghreb Fès to win ✗49%2.031.80
Double chanceMaghreb Fès or draw ✗77%1.301.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.962.10 ▲
Draw no betMaghreb Fès (draw no bet) ✗68%1.47–
Asian handicapYacoub El Mansour +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗65%1.551.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.631.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.241.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.06
First team to scoreMaghreb Fès to score first ✗51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Maghreb Fès / FT Maghreb Fès ✗25%3.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.33–

Recent results

Yacoub El Mansour – last 6

WDDWLL
11 Mayvs Kawkab Marrakech2–1W
8 May@ Olympique Dcheïra1–1D
4 Mayvs Renaissance Berkane1–1D
29 Apr@ Wydad AC2–1W
6 Marvs FUS Rabat1–3L
28 Feb@ Difaa EL Jadida1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Maghreb Fès – last 6

LWDWDW
6 Mayvs Raja Casablanca0–2L
29 Aprvs Hassania Agadir4–0W
5 Apr@ Renaissance Berkane1–1D
7 Mar@ Olympique Dcheïra2–0W
27 Febvs Kawkab Marrakech1–1D
20 Feb@ Yacoub El Mansour2–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Feb 2026Yacoub El Mansour v Maghreb Fès1–2
Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fès head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

FT Chabab Atl. Khenifra0 CODM Meknès2 121%4.20X26%3.40253%1.73 0.9–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fès?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fès?

On our numbers Yacoub El Mansour have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Maghreb Fès 49%.

How many goals will there be in Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fès?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fès?

Our predicted score is Yacoub El Mansour 0–1 Maghreb Fès, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fès?

Yacoub El Mansour vs Maghreb Fès (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.