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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nouakchott King's v Nouadhibou: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Mauritania
3–2
FT
Nouakchott King's 20%Draw 26%Nouadhibou 54% Expected goals 0.97 – 1.65
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultNouadhibou to win ✗54% · @1.80
Double chanceNouadhibou or draw ✗80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.33

Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:45 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Nouakchott King's v Nouadhibou in the Premier League. In the table, Nouakchott King's are 11th, lower half, on 3 points after 5 matches; Nouadhibou are 4th (among the top four) with 8.

Current form

Nouakchott King's, last 4: WLDL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Chemal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Nouadhibou, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with AC Douane, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Nouadhibou, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Nouakchott King's.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nouakchott King's 1.0 xG, Nouadhibou 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nouakchott King's 20%, draw 26%, Nouadhibou 54%.
  • Lower-risk option: Nouadhibou or draw (80%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nouakchott King's 0–1 Nouadhibou. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nouakchott King's20%fair 5.03 · @4.20
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.10
Nouadhibou54%fair 1.84 · @1.80
2.62Expected goals
0.97Nouakchott King's xG
1.65Nouadhibou xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Nouakchott King's 1.0 – 1.6 Nouadhibou expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNouadhibou to win ✗54%1.841.80
Double chanceNouadhibou or draw ✗80%1.251.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.98–
Draw no betNouadhibou (draw no bet) ✗73%1.37–
Asian handicapNouakchott King's +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.14–
First team to scoreNouadhibou to score first58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nouadhibou / FT Nouadhibou ✗32%3.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.33–

Recent results

Nouakchott King's – last 4

WLDL
12 May@ Chemal4–3W
7 Mayvs Nouakchott Academie1–2L
3 Aprvs Pompiers0–0D
2 Marvs Police0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Nouadhibou – last 5

DWWDW
4 May@ AC Douane2–2D
10 Aprvs Ksar5–0W
15 Marvs Gendrim3–1W
2 Marvs Tevragh-Zeïne0–0D
15 Febvs Chemal4–0W
2.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nouakchott King's and Nouadhibou.

Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pompiers5320+711
2Police5320+611
3Gendrim4220+38
4Nouadhibou4220+28
5Tevragh-Zeïne5140+37
6N'Zidane521207
7AC Douane5203+16
8Chemal4130+16
9Nouakchott Academie3120+15
10Kaédi4112-34
11Nouakchott King's5032-43
12SNIM5023-42
13Armée5023-62
14Kédia5023-72

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou?

On our numbers Nouakchott King's have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nouadhibou 54%.

How many goals will there be in Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou?

Our predicted score is Nouakchott King's 0–1 Nouadhibou, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou?

Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.