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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mariehamn v Lahti: numbers & prediction

Suomen Cup · Finland

Mariehamn

LWDWL
0–1
FT

Lahti

LDWDL
Mariehamn 21%Draw 25%Lahti 54% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.99
79%
Betarazi pick

Lahti or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultLahti to win ✓54% · @1.75
Double chanceLahti or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.39

Mariehamn vs Lahti: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 26 May the Suomen Cup brings Mariehamn against Lahti. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Mariehamn, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to FF Jaro, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Lahti, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to KuPS, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Lahti 1–1 Mariehamn. The last 2 head-to-heads: Mariehamn 1 win, Lahti 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mariehamn 1.3 xG, Lahti 2.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mariehamn 21%, draw 25%, Lahti 54%.
  • Lower-risk option: Lahti or draw (79%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Lahti or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mariehamn 1–1 Lahti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mariehamn21%fair 4.66 · @4.00
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.25
Lahti54%fair 1.87 · @1.75
3.28Expected goals
1.28Mariehamn xG
1.99Lahti xG
59%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–27%
1–36%
2–16%

From our goals model: Mariehamn 1.3 – 2.0 Lahti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLahti to win ✓54%1.871.75
Double chanceLahti or draw ✓79%1.271.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.80 ▲
Draw no betLahti (draw no bet) ✓71%1.40–
Asian handicapMariehamn +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.71–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreLahti to score first ✓59%1.71–
Half-time resultLahti ahead at half-time ✗41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lahti / FT Lahti ✗34%2.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.39–

Recent results

Mariehamn – last 6

LWDWLW
23 May@ FF Jaro0–3L
13 Mayvs PuiU Helsinki3–0W
10 May@ Lahti1–1D
28 Apr@ HPS2–1W
10 Apr@ SJK0–3L
5 Marvs Lahti4–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Lahti – last 6

LDWDLW
23 May@ KuPS1–2L
18 Mayvs VPS1–1D
13 Mayvs MP3–1W
10 Mayvs Mariehamn1–1D
4 May@ HJK Helsinki0–1L
28 Apr@ Union Plaani4–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Lahti v Mariehamn1–1
5 Mar 2026Mariehamn v Lahti4–0
Mariehamn vs Lahti head-to-head page →

More Suomen Cup predictions

FT JäPS0 KuPS1 116%9.50X22%5.00262%1.22 1.1–2.0xG 2KuPS to win 62%@1.22 ✓
FT Honka5 VJS1 142%2.88X23%3.30234%2.10 2.4–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mariehamn vs Lahti?

Our pick is Lahti or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Mariehamn vs Lahti?

On our numbers Mariehamn have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lahti 54%.

How many goals will there be in Mariehamn vs Lahti?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mariehamn vs Lahti?

Our predicted score is Mariehamn 1–1 Lahti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Mariehamn vs Lahti?

Mariehamn vs Lahti (Suomen Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 26 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.