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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cavalier v Montego Bay United: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Jamaica · Stadium East
0–1
FT
Cavalier 31%Draw 27%Montego Bay United 42% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.34
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultMontego Bay United to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65

Cavalier vs Montego Bay United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Montego Bay United travel to face Cavalier on Sunday 17 May in the Premier League, with Stadium East the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Cavalier are 9th, lower half, on 10 points after 7 matches; Montego Bay United are 4th (among the top four) with 16.

Current form

Cavalier, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Waterhouse, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Montego Bay United, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mount Pleasant Academy, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Montego Bay United 3–1 Cavalier. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cavalier 0 wins, Montego Bay United 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cavalier 1.1 xG, Montego Bay United 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cavalier 31%, draw 27%, Montego Bay United 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cavalier 1–1 Montego Bay United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cavalier31%fair 3.21 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.40
Montego Bay United42%fair 2.38 · @2.05
2.47Expected goals
1.13Cavalier xG
1.34Montego Bay United xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%

From our goals model: Cavalier 1.1 – 1.3 Montego Bay United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMontego Bay United to win ✓42%2.382.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.67
Draw no betMontego Bay United (draw no bet) ✓57%1.74–
Asian handicapCavalier +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.391.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreMontego Bay United to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Montego Bay United / FT Montego Bay United ✗24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.65–

Recent results

Cavalier – last 6

WDWLWD
14 May@ Waterhouse2–0W
11 Mayvs Waterhouse2–2D
6 Mayvs Harbour View2–1W
24 Apr@ Arnett Gardens1–2L
20 Aprvs Spanish Town Police3–0W
15 Aprvs Portmore United0–0D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Montego Bay United – last 6

LWLWDW
6 May@ Mount Pleasant Academy1–2L
22 Aprvs Tivoli Gardens5–1W
16 Apr@ Arnett Gardens0–1L
29 Marvs Cavalier3–1W
25 Mar@ Molynes United1–1D
18 Marvs Dunbeholden4–3W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Montego Bay United v Cavalier3–1
15 Feb 2026Montego Bay United v Cavalier1–0
Cavalier vs Montego Bay United head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tru-Juice9621+1420
2Waterhouse9531+1518
3Racing United9522+817
4Montego Bay United9441+516
5Mount Pleasant Academy8422014
6Arnett Gardens9342+513
7Tivoli Gardens9333+512
8Portmore United7241+410
9Cavalier7313-110
10Chapelton9243-710
11Dunbeholden9216-87
12Molynes United9216-117
13Treasure Beach9135-106
14Humble Lions8026-192

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cavalier vs Montego Bay United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Cavalier vs Montego Bay United?

On our numbers Cavalier have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Montego Bay United 42%.

How many goals will there be in Cavalier vs Montego Bay United?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cavalier vs Montego Bay United?

Our predicted score is Cavalier 1–1 Montego Bay United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Cavalier vs Montego Bay United?

Cavalier vs Montego Bay United (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium East.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.