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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Montego Bay United v Cavalier: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Jamaica · Wespow Park
0–2
–
Montego Bay United 46%Draw 27%Cavalier 27% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.00
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultMontego Bay United to win46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.86

Montego Bay United vs Cavalier: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 21 May the Premier League brings Montego Bay United against Cavalier at Wespow Park. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT. In the table, Montego Bay United are 4th, among the top four, on 16 points after 9 matches; Cavalier are 9th (lower half) with 10.

Current form

Montego Bay United, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cavalier, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Cavalier, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Montego Bay United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Cavalier 0–1 Montego Bay United. The last 3 head-to-heads: Montego Bay United 3 wins, Cavalier 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Montego Bay United 1.5 xG, Cavalier 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Montego Bay United 46%, draw 27%, Cavalier 27%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montego Bay United 1–1 Cavalier. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Montego Bay United46%fair 2.17 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.30
Cavalier27%fair 3.64 · @3.25
2.49Expected goals
1.49Montego Bay United xG
1.00Cavalier xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Montego Bay United 1.5 – 1.0 Cavalier expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMontego Bay United to win46%2.172.05
Double chanceEither team to win73%1.361.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.751.65
Draw no betMontego Bay United (draw no bet)63%1.60–
Asian handicapCavalier +1 (Asian handicap)68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.391.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals52%1.931.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals73%1.371.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.12–
First team to scoreMontego Bay United to score first55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Montego Bay United / FT Montego Bay United29%3.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.86–

Recent results

Montego Bay United – last 6

WLWLWD
17 May@ Cavalier1–0W
6 May@ Mount Pleasant Academy1–2L
22 Aprvs Tivoli Gardens5–1W
16 Apr@ Arnett Gardens0–1L
29 Marvs Cavalier3–1W
25 Mar@ Molynes United1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cavalier – last 6

LWDWLW
17 Mayvs Montego Bay United0–1L
14 May@ Waterhouse2–0W
11 Mayvs Waterhouse2–2D
6 Mayvs Harbour View2–1W
24 Apr@ Arnett Gardens1–2L
20 Aprvs Spanish Town Police3–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Cavalier v Montego Bay United0–1
29 Mar 2026Montego Bay United v Cavalier3–1
15 Feb 2026Montego Bay United v Cavalier1–0
Montego Bay United vs Cavalier head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tru-Juice9621+1420
2Waterhouse9531+1518
3Racing United9522+817
4Montego Bay United9441+516
5Mount Pleasant Academy8422014
6Arnett Gardens9342+513
7Tivoli Gardens9333+512
8Portmore United7241+410
9Cavalier7313-110
10Chapelton9243-710
11Dunbeholden9216-87
12Molynes United9216-117
13Treasure Beach9135-106
14Humble Lions8026-192

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montego Bay United vs Cavalier?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Montego Bay United vs Cavalier?

On our numbers Montego Bay United have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cavalier 27%.

How many goals will there be in Montego Bay United vs Cavalier?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Montego Bay United vs Cavalier?

Our predicted score is Montego Bay United 1–1 Cavalier, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Montego Bay United vs Cavalier?

Montego Bay United vs Cavalier (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Wespow Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.