Value bet: Bolton to win @ 2.82 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBolton to win ✓38% · @2.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · fair 1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Bolton vs Stockport County: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 24 May the League One brings Bolton against Stockport County at Wembley Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.
Current form
Bolton, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bradford, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Stockport County, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Stevenage, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Bolton 2–2 Stockport County.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bolton 1.4 xG, Stockport County 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bolton 38%, draw 26%, Stockport County 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Bolton to win @2.82 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bolton 1–1 Stockport County. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bolton38%fair 2.65 · @2.82
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.10
Stockport County36%fair 2.77 · @2.54
2.69Expected goals
1.42Bolton xG
1.27Stockport County xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Bolton 1.4 – 1.3 Stockport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bolton
Stockport County
Attack vs League One average
+27%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.61
1.28
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Bolton vs Stockport County?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Bolton vs Stockport County?
On our numbers Bolton have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Stockport County 36%.
How many goals will there be in Bolton vs Stockport County?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Stockport County?
Our predicted score is Bolton 1–1 Stockport County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Bolton vs Stockport County?
Bolton vs Stockport County (League One) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Wembley Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
