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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Notts County v Salford City: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · Wembley Stadium
3–0
FT
Notts County 40%Draw 26%Salford City 34% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.23
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
1

Value bet: Notts County to win @ 2.68 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNotts County to win ✓40% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.19

Notts County vs Salford City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 25 May the League Two brings Notts County against Salford City at Wembley Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Notts County, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Newport County, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Salford City, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Grimsby, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Salford City, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Notts County.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Salford City 2–1 Notts County.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Notts County 1.5 xG, Salford City 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Notts County 40%, draw 26%, Salford City 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Notts County to win @2.68 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Notts County 1–1 Salford City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Notts County40%fair 2.51 · @2.68
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.05
Salford City34%fair 2.94 · @2.68
2.70Expected goals
1.47Notts County xG
1.23Salford City xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%

From our goals model: Notts County 1.5 – 1.2 Salford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Notts CountySalford City
Attack vs League Two average+28%+29%
Goals conceded vs average-14%-12%
Our expected goals here1.741.27

Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNotts County to win ✓40%2.512.68 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.901.83
Draw no betNotts County (draw no bet) ✓54%1.85–
Asian handicapSalford City +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.07
First team to scoreNotts County to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Notts County / FT Notts County ✓25%3.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.19–

Recent results

Notts County – last 6

WLWLWW
6 Aprvs Newport County3–1W
3 Apr@ Salford City1–2L
28 Mar@ Harrogate Town2–0W
24 Mar@ Oldham0–3L
17 Mar@ Accrington ST4–0W
21 Febvs Tranmere5–0W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Salford City – last 6

WWLWWW
10 May@ Grimsby2–1W
23 Aprvs Bromley2–0W
6 Apr@ Crewe0–1L
3 Aprvs Notts County2–1W
17 Marvs Barrow3–1W
10 Marvs Walsall1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Salford City v Notts County2–1
Notts County vs Salford City head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Notts County vs Salford City?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Notts County vs Salford City?

On our numbers Notts County have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Salford City 34%.

How many goals will there be in Notts County vs Salford City?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Notts County vs Salford City?

Our predicted score is Notts County 1–1 Salford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Notts County vs Salford City?

Notts County vs Salford City (League Two) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Wembley Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.