Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIzarra to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceIzarra or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Izarra vs Subiza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Subiza travel to face Izarra on Sunday 24 May in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Izarra are 1st, leading the league, on 26 points after 10 matches; Subiza are 3rd (among the top four) with 16.
Current form
Izarra, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Subiza, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Subiza, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Izarra, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Subiza, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Izarra.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Subiza 1–0 Izarra. The last 2 head-to-heads: Izarra 0 wins, Subiza 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Izarra 2.1 xG, Subiza 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Izarra 60%, draw 22%, Subiza 18%.
Lower-risk option: Izarra or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Izarra to win (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Izarra 2–1 Subiza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Izarra60%fair 1.66 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.30
Subiza18%fair 5.65 · @4.60
3.12Expected goals
2.11Izarra xG
1.01Subiza xG
57%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Izarra 2.1 – 1.0 Subiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Izarra to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Izarra vs Subiza?
On our numbers Izarra have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Subiza 18%.
How many goals will there be in Izarra vs Subiza?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Izarra vs Subiza?
Our predicted score is Izarra 2–1 Subiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Izarra vs Subiza?
Izarra vs Subiza (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
