Value bet: Real Murcia II to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultReal Murcia II to win ✓37% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Real Murcia II vs Mazarrón FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 24 May the Tercera División RFEF Group 13 brings Real Murcia II against Mazarrón FC. Kick-off: 10:00 WAT.
Current form
Real Murcia II, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Santa Cruz, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Mazarrón FC, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Balsicas Atlético, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mazarrón FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Real Murcia II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Murcia II 1.4 xG, Mazarrón FC 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Murcia II 37%, draw 26%, Mazarrón FC 37%.
Price worth noting: Real Murcia II to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Murcia II 1–1 Mazarrón FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Murcia II37%fair 2.70 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @2.95
Mazarrón FC37%fair 2.73 · @2.30
2.76Expected goals
1.44Real Murcia II xG
1.32Mazarrón FC xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Real Murcia II 1.4 – 1.3 Mazarrón FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Murcia II to win✓
37%
2.70
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Real Murcia II (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Mazarrón FC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Real Murcia II to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Murcia II / FT Real Murcia II✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.54
–
Recent results
Real Murcia II – last 6
WDDLLD
2 May
@ Santa Cruz
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ UD Caravaca
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Cieza
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Bala Azul
0–2
L
28 Mar
vs Olímpico Totana
2–4
L
22 Mar
@ Cartagena LU II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mazarrón FC – last 6
DWWDDD
5 Apr
@ Balsicas Atlético
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Unión Molinense
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Santomera
5–0
W
8 Mar
@ UD Caravaca
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Cieza
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Bala Azul
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia II and Mazarrón FC.
What is the prediction for Real Murcia II vs Mazarrón FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Real Murcia II vs Mazarrón FC?
On our numbers Real Murcia II have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mazarrón FC 37%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia II vs Mazarrón FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Murcia II vs Mazarrón FC?
Our predicted score is Real Murcia II 1–1 Mazarrón FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Real Murcia II vs Mazarrón FC?
Real Murcia II vs Mazarrón FC (Tercera División RFEF Group 13) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
