Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.21
Peña Deportiva vs Constància: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Peña Deportiva welcome Constància for a Tercera División RFEF Group 11 fixture on Sunday 24 May (11:30 WAT).
Current form
Peña Deportiva, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Collerense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Constància, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Inter Ibiza, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended Peña Deportiva 2–1 Constància.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Peña Deportiva 1.3 xG, Constància 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Peña Deportiva 40%, draw 27%, Constància 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peña Deportiva 1–1 Constància. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Peña Deportiva40%fair 2.53 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.10
Constància33%fair 3.02 · @3.10
2.45Expected goals
1.26Peña Deportiva xG
1.19Constància xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Peña Deportiva 1.3 – 1.2 Constància expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Peña Deportiva
Constància
Attack vs Tercera División RFEF Group 11 average
+15%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
-40%
Our expected goals here
1.09
1.12
Our own ratings from every Tercera División RFEF Group 11 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Peña Deportiva vs Constància?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Peña Deportiva vs Constància?
On our numbers Peña Deportiva have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Constància 33%.
How many goals will there be in Peña Deportiva vs Constància?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peña Deportiva vs Constància?
Our predicted score is Peña Deportiva 1–1 Constància, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Peña Deportiva vs Constància?
Peña Deportiva vs Constància (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
