Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.91
Motril vs Churriana Vega: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Motril v Churriana Vega in the Tercera División RFEF Group 9. In the table, Motril are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Churriana Vega are 7th (upper half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Motril, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Churriana Vega, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Churriana Vega, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Motril, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Churriana Vega 1–1 Motril.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Motril 1.3 xG, Churriana Vega 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Motril 53%, draw 25%, Churriana Vega 22%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Motril to win (53%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motril 1–0 Churriana Vega. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Motril53%fair 1.88 · @1.44
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.60
Churriana Vega22%fair 4.64 · @6.00
2.22Expected goals
1.33Motril xG
0.89Churriana Vega xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–010%
2–19%
From our goals model: Motril 1.3 – 0.9 Churriana Vega expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Motril vs Churriana Vega?
Our pick is Motril to win with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Motril vs Churriana Vega?
On our numbers Motril have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Churriana Vega 22%.
How many goals will there be in Motril vs Churriana Vega?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motril vs Churriana Vega?
Our predicted score is Motril 1–0 Churriana Vega, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Motril vs Churriana Vega?
Motril vs Churriana Vega (Tercera División RFEF Group 9) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
