Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLyon W to win ✓74% · @1.22
Double chanceLyon W or draw ✓89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.57
Lyon W vs Paris FC W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Friday 29 May: Lyon W v Paris FC W in the Feminine Division 1, played at Parc Olympique Lyonnais. In the table, Lyon W are 1st, leading the league, on 24 points after 8 matches; Paris FC W are 3rd (among the top four) with 16.
Current form
Lyon W, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Montpellier W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Paris FC W, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 6–2 win over Lens W, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lyon W 3.2 xG, Paris FC W 1.3 xG – a total near 4.4. That is an open game on paper: 82% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lyon W 74%, draw 16%, Paris FC W 11%.
Price worth noting: Over 3.5 goals @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lyon W to win (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lyon W 3–1 Paris FC W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lyon W74%fair 1.36 · @1.22
Draw16%fair 6.39 · @5.10
Paris FC W11%fair 9.45 · @9.75
4.43Expected goals
3.16Lyon W xG
1.27Paris FC W xG
58%Both score
82%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–18%
4–16%
3–06%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Lyon W 3.2 – 1.3 Paris FC W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lyon W
Paris FC W
Attack vs Feminine Division 1 average
+160%
+47%
Goals conceded vs average
-35%
-20%
Our expected goals here
3.69
1.50
Our own ratings from every Feminine Division 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon W to win✓
74%
1.36
1.22
Double chance
Lyon W or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
–
Draw no bet
Lyon W (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Lyon W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
2.15 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
First team to score
Lyon W to score first✓
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Lyon W ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon W / FT Lyon W✓
52%
1.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.57
–
Recent results
Lyon W – last 6
WDWWLW
6 May
vs Montpellier W
3–1
W
29 Apr
@ Nantes W
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Dijon W
4–0
W
2 Apr
vs VfL Wolfsburg W
1–0
W
24 Mar
@ VfL Wolfsburg W
0–1
L
10 Mar
vs Le Havre W
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paris FC W – last 5
WWWWL
6 May
vs Lens W
6–2
W
22 Apr
@ Montpellier W
2–0
W
11 Mar
vs Strasbourg W
3–0
W
22 Feb
@ Le Havre W
4–0
W
18 Feb
@ Real Madrid W
0–2
L
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lyon W and Paris FC W.
Our pick is Lyon W to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lyon W vs Paris FC W?
On our numbers Lyon W have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Paris FC W 11%.
How many goals will there be in Lyon W vs Paris FC W?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyon W vs Paris FC W?
Our predicted score is Lyon W 3–1 Paris FC W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Lyon W vs Paris FC W?
Lyon W vs Paris FC W (Feminine Division 1) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parc Olympique Lyonnais.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
