Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.99
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Monday 25 May: U.N.A.M. - Pumas v Cruz Azul in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Olimpico Universitario. In the table, U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Cruz Azul are 1st (leading the league) with 32.
Current form
U.N.A.M. - Pumas, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cruz Azul, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cruz Azul, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with U.N.A.M. - Pumas, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Head to head
When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Cruz Azul 0–0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. The last 2 head-to-heads: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0 wins, Cruz Azul 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.4 xG, Cruz Azul 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – U.N.A.M. - Pumas 31%, draw 24%, Cruz Azul 44%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 Cruz Azul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
U.N.A.M. - Pumas31%fair 3.18 · @3.15
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.35
Cruz Azul44%fair 2.25 · @2.20
3.06Expected goals
1.39U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
1.67Cruz Azul xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.4 – 1.7 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Cruz Azul
Attack vs Liga MX average
+5%
+40%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.62
1.93
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cruz Azul 44%.
How many goals will there be in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Universitario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
